Climate change in North Carolina
Climate change is affecting locations like North Carolina in a variety of ways. In fall, these impacts include increased cooling demand, more extreme rainfall, and more intense hurricanes.
Explore these pages to learn how people in North Carolina are at risk in a warming world.
Since 1970, average annual temperatures in North Carolina have gotten 2.6°F warmer, reflecting an overall warming trend.
Warming puts people and ecosystems at risk from more frequent and intense extreme weather.
Overall, the contiguous U.S. is about 2.8°F warmer today than in 1970, based on average temperatures.
Data source: NCEI Climate at a Glance
Since 1970, North Carolina's annual precipitation has increased by 2.5 inches.
Climate change is supercharging the water cycle and bringing heavier precipitation extremes across the U.S.
For every 1°F of warming, the air can hold 4% more moisture, increasing the chances of heavier downpours that contribute to flash flooding hazards.
Data source: NCEI Climate at a Glance
North Carolina's climate threats in include:
Between 1980 and 2025, North Carolina experienced 31 billion-dollar hurricanes.
As the planet warms, extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense, resulting in devastating losses.
Tropical cyclones (which include hurricanes and tropical storms) are the most costly extreme weather events in the U.S.
This data shows the total number of hurricanes with at least one billion dollars in damages that occurred during 1980-2025.
Data source: U.S. Billion Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters
Since 1970, average fall temperatures in North Carolina have gotten 1.7°F warmer, reflecting an overall warming trend.
Fall warming means that risky heat, fire weather, and allergies linger later into the year.
Data source: NCEI Climate at a Glance
The amount of rainfall during the heaviest rain events each year in the Southeast has increased by 37% since 1958.
Climate change is supercharging the water cycle, bringing heavier precipitation extremes across the U.S.
This chart shows how the amount of rainfall during the top 1% heaviest rain events each year in the Southeast increased between 1958 to 2021.
Data source: Fifth National Climate Assessment
The sea level in North Carolina is projected to rise 1.1 feet by 2050 even if nations meet their pledged commitments to reduce heat-trapping pollution.
Increasing flood risk is driven by our warming climate, which is causing sea levels around the world to rise. Rising sea levels push tides and storm surges higher and farther inland.
Climate Central’s Coastal Risk Finder provides maps and analysis of the people, homes, and land in the U.S. projected to be at risk from worsening coastal flooding driven by rising seas.
Explore some ways climate change is affecting North Carolina in fall
Higher cooling demand for schools
Hotter summers and longer warm seasons make cooling schools a growing challenge.

Key concepts:
- Hotter summers and longer warm seasons make cooling schools a growing challenge.
- Cooling is essential for student and staff health and safety.
- Since 1970, cooling demand during back-to-school season rose in 95% of U.S. locations analyzed.
- Rising demand means schools face costly upgrades to keep classrooms safe and comfortable.
Heavier downpours
Climate change is supercharging the water cycle, driving heavier rainfall and flood risk.

Key concepts:
- Climate change is supercharging the water cycle, driving heavier rainfall and flood risk.
- From 1958–2021, extreme precipitation days grew in every region, led by the Northeast (+60%) and Midwest (+45%).
- Intensification will continue with future warming.
- Short bursts of extreme rain threaten people, ecosystems, and infrastructure nationwide.
More intense hurricanes
Warmer oceans from climate change fuel stronger hurricanes.

Key concepts:
- Warmer oceans from climate change fuel stronger Atlantic hurricanes with heavier rain and higher storm surge.
- Rising seas amplify storm surge, increasing risks for coastal residents.
- Warmer air holds more moisture, driving heavier downpours and flooding.
Impacts to food prices
Extreme events fueled by climate change can damage crops, reduce yields, and disrupt supply chains.

Key concepts:
- Food and climate change are closely linked. Food systems account for about one-quarter of all heat-trapping pollution.
- Meanwhile, extreme events fueled by climate change can damage crops, reduce yields, and disrupt supply chains — all of which can drive food prices higher.
- The availability, quality, and affordability of food reflect a complex set of climatic and socioeconomic factors. Emerging research is providing insight into the role of climate change.
More graphics about North Carolina and climate change
Browse climate-related graphics for all seasons localized for North Carolina, available for download and use consistent with our Terms of use.