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The Climate Story for: Switzerland

Group B

3 matches | 3 stadiums

Explore how heat could slow down performance for Switzerland and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Upcoming matches

Switzerland’s next scheduled match has a 17% likelihood of performance-impairing heat, which is 2 percentage points higher due to climate change.

None of the group-stage matches that Switzerland is playing have an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Switzerland is the 1st most at risk, with a 17% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.

Potential routes

Paths to the final

See Switzerland's potential road to victory and the impact that heat may have on its prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Switzerland could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.

Group B

If Switzerland makes it to the final, they will be playing in 2 matches with above 50% odds of performance-impacting heat. And 2 matches where climate change is increasing the odds by at least 10 percentage points.

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Account for climate-controlled stadiums

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Open air
Roof + open air
Roof + open air
Runner-up
Open air
Roof + open air
Roof + open air
Third*
Open air
Roof + open air
Roof + open air

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

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Switzerland's group-round heat risk

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Switzerland flag

Switzerland

Group B

As of June 9, 2026

0 of 3 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Tournament path heat risk

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Switzerland flag

Possible tournament paths

Switzerland

Group B

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 13M8SF Bay Area
Jun 18M26Los Angeles
Jun 24M51Vancouver
Jul 2M85Vancouver
Jul 7M96Vancouver
Jul 11M100Kansas City
Jul 15M102Atlanta
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Runner-up
Jun 13M8SF Bay Area
Jun 18M26Los Angeles
Jun 24M51Vancouver
Jun 28M73Los Angeles
Jul 4M90Houston
Jul 9M97Boston
Jul 14M101Dallas
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Third*
Jun 13M8SF Bay Area
Jun 18M26Los Angeles
Jun 24M51Vancouver
Jun 29M74Boston
Jul 4M89Philadelphia
Jul 9M97Boston
Jul 14M101Dallas
Jul 19M104NY/NJ

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

“Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often.

Based on Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.