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The Climate Story for: Switzerland

FIFA #19 | Elo #16

Group B

6 matches | 4 stadiums

Explore how heat could slow down performance for Switzerland and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Potential routes

Paths to the final

Group B

See the potential road to victory for Switzerland and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Switzerland could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.

Actual routeSwitzerland's path ended in the Quarterfinals.The actual path is highlighted below and stops at the last match in current results. Other possible branches remain visible for context.
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Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
WinnerActual route
Open air
Roof + open air
Roof + open air
Actual last match
Runner-up
Open air
Roof + open air
Roof + open air
Third*
Open air
Roof + open air
Roof + open air

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

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Group-round heat risk for Switzerland

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Switzerland flag

Switzerland

Group BFIFA #19 | Elo #16

As of June 9, 2026

1 of 6 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Tournament path heat risk

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Switzerland flag

Possible tournament paths

Switzerland

Group BFIFA #19 | Elo #16

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 13M8SF Bay Area
Jun 18M26Los Angeles
Jun 24M51Vancouver
Jul 2M85Vancouver
Jul 7M96Vancouver
Jul 11M100Kansas City
Runner-up
Jun 13M8SF Bay Area
Jun 18M26Los Angeles
Jun 24M51Vancouver
Jun 28M73Los Angeles
Jul 4M90Houston
Jul 9M97Boston
Jul 14M101Dallas
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Third*
Jun 13M8SF Bay Area
Jun 18M26Los Angeles
Jun 24M51Vancouver
Jul 1M81SF Bay Area
Jul 6M94Seattle
Jul 10M98Los Angeles
Jul 14M101Dallas
Jul 19M104NY/NJ

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

“Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often.

Based on Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.