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The Climate Story for: Switzerland

FIFA #19 | Elo #16

Group B

6 matches | 4 stadiums

Explore how heat could slow down performance for Switzerland and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Potential routes

Paths to the final

Group B

See the potential road to victory for Switzerland and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Switzerland could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.

Actual routeSwitzerland's path ended in the Quarterfinals.The actual path is highlighted below and stops at the last match in current results. Other possible branches remain visible for context.
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Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
WinnerActual route
Open air
Roof + open air
Roof + open air
Actual last match
Runner-up
Open air
Roof + open air
Roof + open air
Third*
Open air
Roof + open air
Roof + open air

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

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Group-round heat risk for Switzerland

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Switzerland flag

Switzerland

Group BFIFA #19 | Elo #16

As of June 9, 2026

1 of 6 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Tournament path heat risk

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Switzerland flag

Possible tournament paths

Switzerland

Group BFIFA #19 | Elo #16

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 13M8SF Bay Area

Final: 1-1

Jun 18M26Los Angeles

Final: 4-1

Jun 24M51Vancouver

Final: 2-1

Jul 2M85Vancouver

Final: 2-0

Jul 7M96Vancouver

Final: 0-0 (4-3 pens)

Jul 11M100Kansas City

Final: 3-1

Runner-up
Jun 13M8SF Bay Area

Final: 1-1

Jun 18M26Los Angeles

Final: 4-1

Jun 24M51Vancouver

Final: 2-1

Jun 28M73Los Angeles

Final: 0-1

Jul 4M90Houston

Final: 0-3

Jul 9M97Boston

Final: 2-0

Jul 14M101Dallas

Final: 0-2

Jul 19M104NY/NJ

Final: 1-0

Third*
Jun 13M8SF Bay Area

Final: 1-1

Jun 18M26Los Angeles

Final: 4-1

Jun 24M51Vancouver

Final: 2-1

Jul 1M81SF Bay Area

Final: 2-0

Jul 6M94Seattle

Final: 1-4

Jul 10M98Los Angeles

Final: 2-1

Jul 14M101Dallas

Final: 0-2

Jul 19M104NY/NJ

Final: 1-0

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

“Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often.

Based on Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.