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The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedWinner Group Bvs.To Be Determined3rd Group E/F/G/I/J

Round of 32

Thu, July 2, 20268:00 p.m.BC Place VancouverRoof + open air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

3%Chance of performance-impairing heat+1%From climate change

The July 2 match at BC Place Vancouver (Winner Group B vs. 3rd Group E/F/G/I/J) has a 3% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 1 percentage point higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedWinner Group B
To Be Determined3rd Group E/F/G/I/J

July 2, 2026 • BC Place Vancouver

Round of 32Roof + open air
3%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+1%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Next match:

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 85—To Be DeterminedWinner Match 87

3%Chance of performance-impairing heat+1%From climate change