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The Climate Story for: Bosnia and Herzegovina

FIFA #65 | Elo #66

Group B

4 matches | 4 stadiums

Explore how heat could slow down performance for Bosnia and Herzegovina and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Matches

Bosnia and Herzegovina has completed its scheduled matches.

None of the group-stage matches that Bosnia and Herzegovina played had an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Bosnia and Herzegovina was the #2 team most at risk, with a 16% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.

Potential routes

Paths to the final

Group B

See the potential road to victory for Bosnia and Herzegovina and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Bosnia and Herzegovina could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.

Actual routeBosnia and Herzegovina's path ended in the Round of 32.The actual path is highlighted below and stops at the last match in current results. Other possible branches remain visible for context.
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Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Open air
Roof + open air
Partial canopy
Runner-up
Open air
Roof + open air
Partial canopy
Third*Actual route
Open air
Roof + open air
Partial canopy
Actual last match

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

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Group-round heat risk for Bosnia and Herzegovina

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Bosnia and Herzegovina flag

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Group BFIFA #65 | Elo #66

As of June 9, 2026

0 of 4 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Tournament path heat risk

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Bosnia and Herzegovina flag

Possible tournament paths

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Group BFIFA #65 | Elo #66

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 12M3Toronto

Final: 1-1

Jun 18M26Los Angeles

Final: 4-1

Jun 24M52Seattle

Final: 3-1

Jul 2M85Vancouver

Final: 2-0

Jul 7M96Vancouver

Final: 0-0 (4-3 pens)

Jul 11M100Kansas City

Final: 3-1

Jul 15M102Atlanta

Final: 1-2

Jul 19M104NY/NJ

Final: 1-0

Runner-up
Jun 12M3Toronto

Final: 1-1

Jun 18M26Los Angeles

Final: 4-1

Jun 24M52Seattle

Final: 3-1

Jun 28M73Los Angeles

Final: 0-1

Jul 4M90Houston

Final: 0-3

Jul 9M97Boston

Final: 2-0

Jul 14M101Dallas

Final: 0-2

Jul 19M104NY/NJ

Final: 1-0

Third*
Jun 12M3Toronto

Final: 1-1

Jun 18M26Los Angeles

Final: 4-1

Jun 24M52Seattle

Final: 3-1

Jul 1M81SF Bay Area

Final: 2-0

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

“Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often.

Based on Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.