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The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 95vs.To Be DeterminedWinner Match 96

Quarterfinals

Sat, July 11, 20268:00 p.m.Kansas City StadiumOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

86%Chance of performance-impairing heat+4%From climate change

The July 11 match at Kansas City Stadium (Winner Match 95 vs. Winner Match 96) has a 86% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 4 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 95
To Be DeterminedWinner Match 96

July 11, 2026 • Kansas City Stadium

QuarterfinalsOpen air
86%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+4%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Next match:

Argentina flagArgentina—Algeria flagAlgeria

68%Chance of performance-impairing heat+13%From climate change