The Climate Story for: Egypt
FIFA #29 | Elo #51
Group G
5 matches | 4 stadiums
Explore how heat could slow down performance for Egypt and how climate change is increasing the odds.
Matches
Egypt has completed its scheduled matches.
None of the group-stage matches that Egypt played had an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Egypt was the #4 team most at risk, with a 4% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.
July 3 - Round of 32
Potential routes
Paths to the final
Group G
See the potential road to victory for Egypt and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Egypt could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.
Actual routeEgypt's path ended in the Round of 16.The actual path is highlighted below and stops at the last match in current results. Other possible branches remain visible for context.
Color by
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Runner-upActual route
Actual last match
Third*
Shareable graphics
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Group-round heat risk for Egypt
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Egypt
Group GFIFA #29 | Elo #51As of June 9, 2026
2 of 5 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
- “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.
Tournament path heat risk
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Possible tournament paths
Egypt
Group GFIFA #29 | Elo #51
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 15M16Seattle
Final: 1-1
Jun 21M40Vancouver
Final: 1-3
Jun 26M63Seattle
Final: 1-1
Jul 1M82Seattle
Final: 3-2
Jul 6M94Seattle
Final: 1-4
Jul 10M98Los Angeles
Final: 2-1
Jul 14M101Dallas
Final: 0-2
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Final: 1-0
Runner-up
Jun 15M16Seattle
Final: 1-1
Jun 21M40Vancouver
Final: 1-3
Jun 26M63Seattle
Final: 1-1
Jul 3M88Dallas
Final: 1-1 (2-4 pens)
Jul 7M95Atlanta
Final: 3-2
Third*
Jun 15M16Seattle
Final: 1-1
Jun 21M40Vancouver
Final: 1-3
Jun 26M63Seattle
Final: 1-1
SPA