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The Climate Story for: Egypt

FIFA #29 | Elo #51

Group G

5 matches | 4 stadiums

Explore how heat could slow down performance for Egypt and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Matches

Egypt has completed its scheduled matches.

None of the group-stage matches that Egypt played had an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Egypt was the #4 team most at risk, with a 4% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.

Potential routes

Paths to the final

Group G

See the potential road to victory for Egypt and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Egypt could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.

Actual routeEgypt's path ended in the Round of 16.The actual path is highlighted below and stops at the last match in current results. Other possible branches remain visible for context.
Color by

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Partial canopy
Roof + open air
Partial canopy
Runner-upActual route
Partial canopy
Roof + open air
Partial canopy
Actual last match
Third*
Partial canopy
Roof + open air
Partial canopy

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Group-round heat risk for Egypt

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Egypt flag

Egypt

Group GFIFA #29 | Elo #51

As of June 9, 2026

2 of 5 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Tournament path heat risk

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Egypt flag

Possible tournament paths

Egypt

Group GFIFA #29 | Elo #51

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 15M16Seattle
Jun 21M40Vancouver
Jun 26M63Seattle
Jul 1M82Seattle
Jul 6M94Seattle
Jul 10M98Los Angeles
Jul 14M101Dallas
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Runner-up
Jun 15M16Seattle
Jun 21M40Vancouver
Jun 26M63Seattle
Jul 3M88Dallas
Jul 7M95Atlanta
Third*
Jun 15M16Seattle
Jun 21M40Vancouver
Jun 26M63Seattle

“Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often.

Based on Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.