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Last forecast for this matchAs of June 20, 2026 at 2:00 PM ETForecast high was 22°C3°C above normal

Forecast high was .

This was 3°C above normal.

How is this different from the probability of performance-impairing heat?

Source: Climate Shift Index and NOAA GFS forecasts through 2026-06-20T18Z.

The Climate Story for:

New Zealand flagNew Zealandvs.Egypt flagEgypt

Group Stage · Group G

Sun, June 21, 20266:00 p.m.BC Place VancouverRoof + open air

Review the modeled heat risk for this match and how climate change affected the odds.

Data

1%Chance of performance-impairing heat0%From climate change

The June 21 match at BC Place Vancouver (New Zealand vs. Egypt) had a 1% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds were 0 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

New Zealand flagNew Zealand
Egypt flagEgypt

June 21, 2026 • BC Place Vancouver

Group GRoof + open air
1%Chance of performance-impairing heat
0%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

New Zealand flagNew Zealand

Group G3 matches, 2 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

New Zealand flagNZL—Belgium flagBEL

3%Chance of performance-impairing heat+1%From climate change

Egypt flagEgypt

Group G3 matches, 2 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

Egypt flagEGY—Iran flagIRA

6%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change

Vancouver

Canada flagCanada

Go to stadium page
Next match:

Switzerland flagSwitzerland—To Be Determined3rd Group E/F/G/I/J

3%Chance of performance-impairing heat+1%From climate change