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The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group Dvs.To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group G

Round of 32

Fri, July 3, 20261:00 p.m.Dallas StadiumClimate-controlled

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

98%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change

The July 3 match at Dallas Stadium (Runner-up Group D vs. Runner-up Group G) has a 98% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 2 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group D
To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group G

July 3, 2026 • Dallas Stadium

Round of 32Climate-controlled
98%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+2%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Next match:

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 83—To Be DeterminedWinner Match 84

98%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change