The Climate Story for: Iran
FIFA #21 | Elo #31
Group G
3 matches | 2 stadiums
Explore how heat could slow down performance for Iran and how climate change is increasing the odds.
Matches
Iran has completed its scheduled matches.
None of the group-stage matches that Iran played had an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Iran was the #1 team most at risk, with a 24% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.
Potential routes
Paths to the final
Group G
See the potential road to victory for Iran and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Iran could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.
Actual routeIran's path ended in the group stage.The completed group-stage matches are highlighted below. Knockout branches remain visible as pre-tournament possibilities.
Color by
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Runner-up
Third*
Shareable graphics
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Group-round heat risk for Iran
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Iran
Group GFIFA #21 | Elo #31As of June 9, 2026
0 of 3 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
- “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.
Tournament path heat risk
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Possible tournament paths
Iran
Group GFIFA #21 | Elo #31
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 15M15Los Angeles
Jun 21M39Los Angeles
Jun 26M63Seattle
Jul 1M82Seattle
Jul 6M94Seattle
Jul 10M98Los Angeles
Jul 14M101Dallas
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Runner-up
Jun 15M15Los Angeles
Jun 21M39Los Angeles
Jun 26M63Seattle
Jul 3M88Dallas
Jul 7M95Atlanta
Jul 11M100Kansas City
Jul 15M102Atlanta
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Third*
Jun 15M15Los Angeles
Jun 21M39Los Angeles
Jun 26M63Seattle
SPA
ARG