The Climate Story for: Belgium
FIFA #9 | Elo #19
Group G
6 matches | 3 stadiums
Explore how heat could slow down performance for Belgium and how climate change is increasing the odds.
Matches
Belgium has completed its scheduled matches.
None of the group-stage matches that Belgium played had an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Belgium was the #2 team most at risk, with a 13% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.
July 1 - Round of 32
July 6 - Round of 16
Potential routes
Paths to the final
Group G
See the potential road to victory for Belgium and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Belgium could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.
Actual routeBelgium's path ended in the Quarterfinals.The actual path is highlighted below and stops at the last match in current results. Other possible branches remain visible for context.
Color by
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
WinnerActual route
Actual last match
Runner-up
Third*
Shareable graphics
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Group-round heat risk for Belgium
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Belgium
Group GFIFA #9 | Elo #19As of June 9, 2026
1 of 6 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
- “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.
Tournament path heat risk
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Possible tournament paths
Belgium
Group GFIFA #9 | Elo #19
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 15M16Seattle
Final: 1-1
Jun 21M39Los Angeles
Final: 0-0
Jun 26M64Vancouver
Final: 1-5
Jul 1M82Seattle
Final: 3-2
Jul 6M94Seattle
Final: 1-4
Jul 10M98Los Angeles
Final: 2-1
Runner-up
Jun 15M16Seattle
Final: 1-1
Jun 21M39Los Angeles
Final: 0-0
Jun 26M64Vancouver
Final: 1-5
Jul 3M88Dallas
Final: 1-1 (2-4 pens)
Jul 7M95Atlanta
Final: 3-2
Jul 11M100Kansas City
Final: 3-1
Jul 15M102Atlanta
Final: 1-2
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Final: 1-0
Third*
Jun 15M16Seattle
Final: 1-1
Jun 21M39Los Angeles
Final: 0-0
Jun 26M64Vancouver
Final: 1-5
ARG