Extreme Weather Toolkit: Extreme Heat

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More frequent and intense extreme heat — the deadliest natural hazard in the U.S. — is a direct result of a warming planet.

Global average temperatures have warmed by about 1.3C (2.3°F) relative to a 1850–1900 baseline. When global average temperatures warm, extreme heat events become more frequent. 

According to the latest IPCC reports, the frequency and intensity of extreme heat events has increased around the globe — and these changes are mainly due to rising atmospheric concentrations of heat-trapping gases from burning fossil fuels (coal, oil, and gas), changing land use, and other human activities.

Climate Central’s Climate Shift Index tool quantifies the influence of human-caused climate change on daily temperatures around the globe. 

Extreme heat is the deadliest weather-related hazard in the U.S. Children, outdoor workers, and adults over the age of 65 are among those most vulnerable to heat-related illness and death. 

People living in urban areas also have a higher risk of extreme-heat exposure. About 80% of the U.S. population lives in metropolitan areas, where urban heat islands can reach peak temperatures up to 20°F hotter than nearby areas with more trees and less pavement. 

Across 65 large U.S. cities analyzed by Climate Central, 34 million people live in neighborhoods made at least 8°F hotter because of characteristics of the built environment.  

In major U.S. cities, multi-day heat waves are longer, more intense, more frequent, and happening over a longer period of the year than they did in the 1960s.

With continued heat-trapping emissions, both average temperatures and heat extremes are projected to continue to rise through the 21st century. 

Every bit of additional warming brings greater heat-related risks for health, agriculture, and ecosystems. 

Updated: May 2025