The Climate Story for: Iraq
FIFA #57 | Elo #63
Group I
3 matches | 3 stadiums
Explore how heat could slow down performance for Iraq and how climate change is increasing the odds.
Matches
Iraq has completed its scheduled matches.
None of the group-stage matches that Iraq played had an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Iraq was the #2 team most at risk, with a 26% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.
Potential routes
Paths to the final
Group I
See the potential road to victory for Iraq and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Iraq could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.
Actual routeIraq's path ended in the group stage.The completed group-stage matches are highlighted below. Knockout branches remain visible as pre-tournament possibilities.
Color by
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Runner-up
Third*
* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.
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Group-round heat risk for Iraq
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Iraq
Group IFIFA #57 | Elo #63As of June 9, 2026
0 of 3 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
- “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.
Tournament path heat risk
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Possible tournament paths
Iraq
Group IFIFA #57 | Elo #63
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 16M18Boston
Jun 22M42Philadelphia
Jun 26M62Toronto
Jun 30M77NY/NJ
Jul 4M89Philadelphia
Jul 9M97Boston
Jul 14M101Dallas
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Runner-up
Jun 16M18Boston
Jun 22M42Philadelphia
Jun 26M62Toronto
Jun 30M78Dallas
Jul 5M91NY/NJ
Jul 11M99Miami
Jul 15M102Atlanta
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Third*
Jun 16M18Boston
Jun 22M42Philadelphia
Jun 26M62Toronto
Jul 1M82Seattle
Jul 6M94Seattle
Jul 10M98Los Angeles
Jul 14M101Dallas
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
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