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The Climate Story for:

Senegal flagSenegalvs.Iraq flagIraq

Group Stage · Group I

Fri, June 26, 20263:00 p.m.Toronto StadiumOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

19%Chance of performance-impairing heat+6%From climate change

The June 26 match at Toronto Stadium (Senegal vs. Iraq) has a 19% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 6 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Senegal flagSenegal
Iraq flagIraq

June 26, 2026 • Toronto Stadium

Group IOpen air
19%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+6%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Senegal flagSenegal

Group I3 matches, 2 stadiums
Go to team page
Next match:

France flagFRA—Senegal flagSEN

20%Chance of performance-impairing heat+7%From climate change

Iraq flagIraq

Group I3 matches, 3 stadiums
Go to team page
Next match:

Iraq flagIRA—Norway flagNOR

16%Chance of performance-impairing heat+3%From climate change

Toronto

Canada flagCanada

Go to stadium page
Next match:

To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group K—To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group L

19%Chance of performance-impairing heat+6%From climate change