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The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedWinner Group Dvs.To Be Determined3rd Group B/E/F/I/J

Round of 32

Wed, July 1, 20265:00 p.m.San Francisco Bay Area StadiumOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

26%Chance of performance-impairing heat-1%From climate change

The July 1 match at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium (Winner Group D vs. 3rd Group B/E/F/I/J) has a 26% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 1 percentage point lower due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedWinner Group D
To Be Determined3rd Group B/E/F/I/J

July 1, 2026 • San Francisco Bay Area Stadium

Round of 32Open air
26%Chance of performance-impairing heat
-1%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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17%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change