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The Climate Story for:

Belgium flagBelgiumvs.Senegal flagSenegal

Round of 32

Wed, July 1, 20261:00 p.m. PDTSeattle StadiumPartial canopy

Review the modeled heat risk for this match and how climate change affected the odds.

Data

6%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change

The July 1 match at Seattle Stadium (Belgium vs. Senegal) had a 6% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds were 2 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Belgium flagBelgium
Senegal flagSenegal

July 1, 2026 • Seattle Stadium

Round of 32Partial canopy
6%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+2%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Belgium flagBelgium

Group G6 matches, 3 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

Spain flagSPA—Belgium flagBEL

62%Chance of performance-impairing heat+9%From climate change

Senegal flagSenegal

Group I4 matches, 3 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

Belgium flagBEL—Senegal flagSEN

6%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change

Seattle

United States flagUnited States

Go to stadium page
Latest match:

United States flagUnited States—Belgium flagBelgium

6%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change