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The Climate Story for: Panama

FIFA #33 | Elo #36

Group L

3 matches | 2 stadiums

Explore how heat could slow down performance for Panama and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Matches

The next scheduled match for Panama has a 36% likelihood of performance-impairing heat, which is 14 percentage points higher due to climate change.

None of the group-stage matches that Panama is playing have an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Panama is the #4 team most at risk, with a 18% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.

Potential routes

Paths to the final

Group L

See the potential road to victory for Panama and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Panama could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.

If Panama makes it to the final, they will be playing in 3 matches with above 50% odds of performance-impacting heat. And 4 matches where climate change is increasing the odds by at least 10 percentage points.

Color by

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Open air
Open air
Open air
Runner-up
Open air
Open air
Open air
Third*
Open air
Open air
Open air

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

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Group-round heat risk for Panama

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Panama flag

Panama

Group LFIFA #33 | Elo #36

As of June 9, 2026

0 of 3 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Tournament path heat risk

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Panama flag

Possible tournament paths

Panama

Group LFIFA #33 | Elo #36

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 17M21Toronto
Jun 23M46Toronto
Jun 27M67NY/NJ
Jul 1M80Atlanta
Jul 5M92Mexico City
Jul 11M99Miami
Jul 15M102Atlanta
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Runner-up
Jun 17M21Toronto
Jun 23M46Toronto
Jun 27M67NY/NJ
Jul 2M83Toronto
Jul 6M93Dallas
Jul 10M98Los Angeles
Jul 14M101Dallas
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Third*
Jun 17M21Toronto
Jun 23M46Toronto
Jun 27M67NY/NJ
Jul 3M87Kansas City
Jul 7M96Vancouver
Jul 11M100Kansas City
Jul 15M102Atlanta
Jul 19M104NY/NJ

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

“Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often.

Based on Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.