The Climate Story for: Colombia
FIFA #13 | Elo #7
Group K
5 matches | 5 stadiums
Explore how heat could slow down performance for Colombia and how climate change is increasing the odds.
Matches
Colombia has completed its scheduled matches.
Two of the group-stage matches that Colombia played had an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Colombia was the #3 team most at risk, with a 67% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.
July 3 - Round of 32
Potential routes
Paths to the final
Group K
See the potential road to victory for Colombia and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Colombia could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.
Actual routeColombia's path ended in the Round of 16.The actual path is highlighted below and stops at the last match in current results. Other possible branches remain visible for context.
Color by
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
WinnerActual route
Actual last match
Runner-up
Third*
* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.
Shareable graphics
Share
Group-round heat risk for Colombia
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Colombia
Group KFIFA #13 | Elo #7As of June 9, 2026
3 of 5 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
- “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.
Tournament path heat risk
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Possible tournament paths
Colombia
Group KFIFA #13 | Elo #7
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 17M24Mexico City
Final: 1-3
Jun 23M48Guadalajara
Final: 1-0
Jun 27M71Miami
Final: 0-0
Jul 3M87Kansas City
Final: 1-0
Jul 7M96Vancouver
Final: 0-0 (4-3 pens)
Runner-up
Jun 17M24Mexico City
Final: 1-3
Jun 23M48Guadalajara
Final: 1-0
Jun 27M71Miami
Final: 0-0
Jul 2M83Toronto
Final: 2-1
Jul 6M93Dallas
Final: 0-1
Jul 10M98Los Angeles
Final: 2-1
Jul 14M101Dallas
Final: 0-2
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Final: 1-0
Third*
Jun 17M24Mexico City
Final: 1-3
Jun 23M48Guadalajara
Final: 1-0
Jun 27M71Miami
Final: 0-0
Jul 1M80Atlanta
Final: 2-1
Jul 5M92Mexico City
Final: 2-3
Jul 11M99Miami
Final: 1-2
Jul 15M102Atlanta
Final: 1-2
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Final: 1-0
ENG
SPA