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The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedWinner Group Kvs.To Be Determined3rd Group D/E/I/J/L

Round of 32

Fri, July 3, 20268:30 p.m.Kansas City StadiumOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

83%Chance of performance-impairing heat+8%From climate change

The July 3 match at Kansas City Stadium (Winner Group K vs. 3rd Group D/E/I/J/L) has a 83% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 8 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedWinner Group K
To Be Determined3rd Group D/E/I/J/L

July 3, 2026 • Kansas City Stadium

Round of 32Open air
83%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+8%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Next match:

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 95—To Be DeterminedWinner Match 96

86%Chance of performance-impairing heat+4%From climate change