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The Climate Story for:

Colombia flagColombiavs.Portugal flagPortugal

Group Stage · Group K

Sat, June 27, 20267:30 p.m. EDTMiami StadiumPartial canopy

Review the modeled heat risk for this match and how climate change affected the odds.

Data

95%Chance of performance-impairing heat+14%From climate change

The June 27 match at Miami Stadium (Colombia vs. Portugal) had a 95% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds were 14 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Colombia flagColombia
Portugal flagPortugal

June 27, 2026 • Miami Stadium

Group KPartial canopy
95%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+14%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Colombia flagColombia

Group K5 matches, 5 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

Switzerland flagSWI—Colombia flagCOL

3%Chance of performance-impairing heat+1%From climate change

Portugal flagPortugal

Group K5 matches, 4 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

Portugal flagPOR—Spain flagSPA

98%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change

Miami

United States flagUnited States

Go to stadium page
Next match:

France flagFrance—To Be DeterminedLoser Match 102

98%Chance of performance-impairing heat+8%From climate change