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The Climate Story for: Ivory Coast

FIFA #34 | Elo #52

Group E

4 matches | 3 stadiums

Explore how heat could slow down performance for Ivory Coast and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Matches

Ivory Coast has completed its scheduled matches.

One of the group-stage matches that Ivory Coast played had an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Ivory Coast was the #4 team most at risk, with a 38% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.

Potential routes

Paths to the final

Group E

See the potential road to victory for Ivory Coast and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Ivory Coast could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.

Actual routeIvory Coast's path ended in the Round of 32.The actual path is highlighted below and stops at the last match in current results. Other possible branches remain visible for context.
Color by

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Open air
Open air
Open air
Runner-upActual route
Open air
Open air
Open air
Actual last match
Third*
Open air
Open air
Open air

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

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Group-round heat risk for Ivory Coast

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Ivory Coast flag

Ivory Coast

Group EFIFA #34 | Elo #52

As of June 9, 2026

2 of 4 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Tournament path heat risk

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Ivory Coast flag

Possible tournament paths

Ivory Coast

Group EFIFA #34 | Elo #52

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 14M9Philadelphia

Final: 1-0

Jun 20M33Toronto

Final: 2-1

Jun 25M55Philadelphia

Final: 0-2

Jun 29M74Boston

Final: 1-1 (3-4 pens)

Jul 4M89Philadelphia

Final: 0-1

Jul 9M97Boston

Final: 2-0

Jul 14M101Dallas

Final: 0-2

Jul 19M104NY/NJ

Final: 1-0

Runner-up
Jun 14M9Philadelphia

Final: 1-0

Jun 20M33Toronto

Final: 2-1

Jun 25M55Philadelphia

Final: 0-2

Jun 30M78Dallas

Final: 1-2

Third*
Jun 14M9Philadelphia

Final: 1-0

Jun 20M33Toronto

Final: 2-1

Jun 25M55Philadelphia

Final: 0-2

Jun 30M79Mexico City

Final: 2-0

Jul 5M92Mexico City

Final: 2-3

Jul 11M99Miami

Final: 1-2

Jul 15M102Atlanta

Final: 1-2

Jul 19M104NY/NJ

Final: 1-0

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

“Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often.

Based on Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.