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The Climate Story for: Ivory Coast

Group E

3 matches | 2 stadiums

Explore how heat could slow down performance for Ivory Coast and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Upcoming matches

Ivory Coast’s next scheduled match has a 43% likelihood of performance-impairing heat, which is 11 percentage points higher due to climate change.

One of the group-stage matches that Ivory Coast is playing has an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Ivory Coast is the 4th most at risk, with a 38% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.

Potential routes

Paths to the final

See Ivory Coast's potential road to victory and the impact that heat may have on its prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Ivory Coast could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.

Group E

If Ivory Coast makes it to the final, they will be playing in 3 matches with above 50% odds of performance-impacting heat. And 5 matches where climate change is increasing the odds by at least 10 percentage points.

Color by
Account for climate-controlled stadiums

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Open air
Open air
Open air
Runner-up
Open air
Open air
Open air
Third*
Open air
Open air
Open air

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

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Ivory Coast's group-round heat risk

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Ivory Coast flag

Ivory Coast

Group E

As of June 9, 2026

1 of 3 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Tournament path heat risk

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Ivory Coast flag

Possible tournament paths

Ivory Coast

Group E

Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.

0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 14M9Philadelphia
Jun 20M33Toronto
Jun 25M55Philadelphia
Jun 29M74Boston
Jul 4M89Philadelphia
Jul 9M97Boston
Jul 14M101Dallas
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Runner-up
Jun 14M9Philadelphia
Jun 20M33Toronto
Jun 25M55Philadelphia
Jun 30M78Dallas
Jul 5M91NY/NJ
Jul 11M99Miami
Jul 15M102Atlanta
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Third*
Jun 14M9Philadelphia
Jun 20M33Toronto
Jun 25M55Philadelphia
Jun 30M79Mexico City
Jul 5M92Mexico City
Jul 11M99Miami
Jul 15M102Atlanta
Jul 19M104NY/NJ

* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.

“Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often.

Based on Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.