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Last forecast for this matchAs of July 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM ETForecast high was 30°C0°C above normal

Forecast high was .

This was 0°C above normal.

This heat could have impaired player performance.

The Climate Story for:

Norway flagNorwayvs.England flagEngland

Quarterfinals

Sat, July 11, 20265:00 p.m. EDTMiami StadiumPartial canopy

Review the modeled heat risk for this match and how climate change affected the odds.

Data

98%Chance of performance-impairing heat+8%From climate change

The July 11 match at Miami Stadium (Norway vs. England) had a 98% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds were 8 percentage points higher due to climate change.

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Norway flagNorway
England flagEngland

July 11, 2026 • Miami Stadium

QuarterfinalsPartial canopy
98%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+8%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.