Language

Receive weekly heat updates during the tournament

Copyright © 2026 Climate Central
Registered 501(c)(3). EIN: 26-1797336

Terms of usePrivacy policy

The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 79vs.To Be DeterminedWinner Match 80

Round of 16

Sun, July 5, 20266:00 p.m.Mexico City StadiumOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

9%Chance of performance-impairing heat+5%From climate change

The July 5 match at Mexico City Stadium (Winner Match 79 vs. Winner Match 80) has a 9% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 5 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

Share

Share

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 79
To Be DeterminedWinner Match 80

July 5, 2026 • Mexico City Stadium

Round of 16Open air
9%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+5%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Mexico City

Mexico flagMexico

Go to stadium page
Next match:

Mexico flagMexico—South Africa flagSouth Africa

19%Chance of performance-impairing heat+8%From climate change