Language

Receive weekly heat updates during the tournament

Copyright © 2026 Climate Central
Registered 501(c)(3). EIN: 26-1797336

Terms of usePrivacy policy

The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedWinner Group Avs.To Be Determined3rd Group C/E/F/H/I

Round of 32

Tue, June 30, 20267:00 p.m.Mexico City StadiumOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

9%Chance of performance-impairing heat+5%From climate change

The June 30 match at Mexico City Stadium (Winner Group A vs. 3rd Group C/E/F/H/I) has a 9% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 5 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

Share

Share

World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedWinner Group A
To Be Determined3rd Group C/E/F/H/I

June 30, 2026 • Mexico City Stadium

Round of 32Open air
9%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+5%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Mexico City

Mexico flagMexico

Go to stadium page
Next match:

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 79—To Be DeterminedWinner Match 80

9%Chance of performance-impairing heat+5%From climate change