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The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedWinner Group Ivs.To Be Determined3rd Group C/D/F/G/H

Round of 32

Tue, June 30, 20265:00 p.m.New York New Jersey StadiumOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

36%Chance of performance-impairing heat+14%From climate change

The June 30 match at New York New Jersey Stadium (Winner Group I vs. 3rd Group C/D/F/G/H) has a 36% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 14 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedWinner Group I
To Be Determined3rd Group C/D/F/G/H

June 30, 2026 • New York New Jersey Stadium

Round of 32Open air
36%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+14%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Climate LocalExplore local climate impacts, data, and graphics for New York, NY.OpenNew Jersey disaster summaryReview billion-dollar weather and climate disasters affecting New Jersey.Open

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Next match:

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 76—To Be DeterminedWinner Match 78

36%Chance of performance-impairing heat+14%From climate change