The Climate Story for: Saudi Arabia
FIFA #61 | Elo #71
Group H
3 matches | 3 stadiums
Explore how heat could slow down performance for Saudi Arabia and how climate change is increasing the odds.
Matches
Saudi Arabia has completed its scheduled matches.
All of the group-stage matches that Saudi Arabia played had an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Saudi Arabia was the #2 team most at risk, with a 87% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.
Potential routes
Paths to the final
Group H
See the potential road to victory for Saudi Arabia and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Saudi Arabia could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.
Actual routeSaudi Arabia's path ended in the group stage.The completed group-stage matches are highlighted below. Knockout branches remain visible as pre-tournament possibilities.
Color by
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Runner-up
Third*
Shareable graphics
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Group-round heat risk for Saudi Arabia
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Saudi Arabia
Group HFIFA #61 | Elo #71As of June 9, 2026
3 of 3 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
- “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.
Tournament path heat risk
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Possible tournament paths
Saudi Arabia
Group HFIFA #61 | Elo #71
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 15M13Miami
Jun 21M38Atlanta
Jun 26M65Houston
Jul 2M84Los Angeles
Jul 6M93Dallas
Jul 10M98Los Angeles
Jul 14M101Dallas
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Runner-up
Jun 15M13Miami
Jun 21M38Atlanta
Jun 26M65Houston
Jul 3M86Miami
Jul 7M95Atlanta
Jul 11M100Kansas City
Jul 15M102Atlanta
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Third*
Jun 15M13Miami
Jun 21M38Atlanta
Jun 26M65Houston
ARG
FRA