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The Climate Story for:

Portugal flagPortugalvs.Spain flagSpain

Round of 16

Mon, July 6, 20262:00 p.m. CDTDallas StadiumClimate-controlled

Review the modeled heat risk for this match and how climate change affected the odds.

Data

98%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change

The July 6 match at Dallas Stadium (Portugal vs. Spain) had a 98% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds were 2 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Portugal flagPortugal
Spain flagSpain

July 6, 2026 • Dallas Stadium

Round of 16Climate-controlled
98%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+2%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Portugal flagPortugal

Group K5 matches, 4 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

Portugal flagPOR—Spain flagSPA

98%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change

Spain flagSpain

Group H7 matches, 4 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

France flagFRA—Spain flagSPA

99%Chance of performance-impairing heat+1%From climate change

Dallas

United States flagUnited States

Go to stadium page
Latest match:

France flagFrance—Spain flagSpain

99%Chance of performance-impairing heat+1%From climate change