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The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 73vs.To Be DeterminedWinner Match 75

Round of 16

Sat, July 4, 202612:00 p.m.Houston StadiumClimate-controlled

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

97%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change

The July 4 match at Houston Stadium (Winner Match 73 vs. Winner Match 75) has a 97% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 2 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 73
To Be DeterminedWinner Match 75

July 4, 2026 • Houston Stadium

Round of 16Climate-controlled
97%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+2%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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96%Chance of performance-impairing heat+5%From climate change