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The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 74vs.To Be DeterminedWinner Match 77

Round of 16

Sat, July 4, 20265:00 p.m.Philadelphia StadiumOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

63%Chance of performance-impairing heat+17%From climate change

The July 4 match at Philadelphia Stadium (Winner Match 74 vs. Winner Match 77) has a 63% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 17 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 74
To Be DeterminedWinner Match 77

July 4, 2026 • Philadelphia Stadium

Round of 16Open air
63%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+17%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Next match:

Ivory Coast flagIvory Coast—Ecuador flagEcuador

43%Chance of performance-impairing heat+11%From climate change