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The Climate Story for:

Argentina flagArgentinavs.Cape Verde flagCape Verde

Round of 32

Fri, July 3, 20266:00 p.m. EDTMiami StadiumPartial canopy

Review the modeled heat risk for this match and how climate change affected the odds.

Data

95%Chance of performance-impairing heat+14%From climate change

The July 3 match at Miami Stadium (Argentina vs. Cape Verde) had a 95% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds were 14 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Argentina flagArgentina
Cape Verde flagCape Verde

July 3, 2026 • Miami Stadium

Round of 32Partial canopy
95%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+14%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Argentina flagArgentina

Group J7 matches, 4 stadiums
Go to team page
Next match:

England flagENG—Argentina flagARG

92%Chance of performance-impairing heat+12%From climate change

Cape Verde flagCape Verde

Group H4 matches, 3 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

Argentina flagARG—Cape Verde flagCAP

95%Chance of performance-impairing heat+14%From climate change

Miami

United States flagUnited States

Go to stadium page
Next match:

France flagFrance—To Be DeterminedLoser Match 102

98%Chance of performance-impairing heat+8%From climate change