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The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedWinner Group Jvs.To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group H

Round of 32

Fri, July 3, 20266:00 p.m.Miami StadiumPartial canopy

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

95%Chance of performance-impairing heat+14%From climate change

The July 3 match at Miami Stadium (Winner Group J vs. Runner-up Group H) has a 95% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 14 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedWinner Group J
To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group H

July 3, 2026 • Miami Stadium

Round of 32Partial canopy
95%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+14%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Next match:

To Be DeterminedWinner Match 91—To Be DeterminedWinner Match 92

98%Chance of performance-impairing heat+8%From climate change