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The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group Kvs.To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group L

Round of 32

Thu, July 2, 20267:00 p.m.Toronto StadiumOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

19%Chance of performance-impairing heat+6%From climate change

The July 2 match at Toronto Stadium (Runner-up Group K vs. Runner-up Group L) has a 19% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 6 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group K
To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group L

July 2, 2026 • Toronto Stadium

Round of 32Open air
19%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+6%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Toronto

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Next match:

Canada flagCanada—Bosnia and Herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina

9%Chance of performance-impairing heat+1%From climate change