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The Climate Story for:

South Africa flagSouth Africavs.Canada flagCanada

Round of 32

Sun, June 28, 202612:00 p.m. PDTLos Angeles StadiumRoof + open air

Review the modeled heat risk for this match and how climate change affected the odds.

Data

49%Chance of performance-impairing heat+6%From climate change

The June 28 match at Los Angeles Stadium (South Africa vs. Canada) had a 49% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds were 6 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

South Africa flagSouth Africa
Canada flagCanada

June 28, 2026 • Los Angeles Stadium

Round of 32Roof + open air
49%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+6%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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South Africa flagSouth Africa

Group A4 matches, 4 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

South Africa flagRSA—Canada flagCAN

49%Chance of performance-impairing heat+6%From climate change

Canada flagCanada

Group B5 matches, 4 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

Canada flagCAN—Morocco flagMOR

97%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change

Los Angeles

United States flagUnited States

Go to stadium page
Latest match:

Spain flagSpain—Belgium flagBelgium

62%Chance of performance-impairing heat+9%From climate change