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The Climate Story for:

Uruguay flagUruguayvs.Spain flagSpain

Group Stage · Group H

Fri, June 26, 20266:00 p.m. CSTEstadio GuadalajaraOpen air

Review the modeled heat risk for this match and how climate change affected the odds.

Data

70%Chance of performance-impairing heat+37%From climate change

The June 26 match at Estadio Guadalajara (Uruguay vs. Spain) had a 70% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds were 37 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Uruguay flagUruguay
Spain flagSpain

June 26, 2026 • Estadio Guadalajara

Group HOpen air
70%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+37%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Uruguay flagUruguay

Group H3 matches, 2 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

Uruguay flagURU—Spain flagSPA

70%Chance of performance-impairing heat+37%From climate change

Spain flagSpain

Group H8 matches, 5 stadiums
Go to team page
Next match:

Spain flagSPA—To Be DeterminedWIN

47%Chance of performance-impairing heat+17%From climate change

Guadalajara

Mexico flagMexico

Go to stadium page
Latest match:

Uruguay flagUruguay—Spain flagSpain

70%Chance of performance-impairing heat+37%From climate change