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The Climate Story for:

Paraguay flagParaguayvs.Australia flagAustralia

Group Stage · Group D

Thu, June 25, 20267:00 p.m.San Francisco Bay Area StadiumOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

26%Chance of performance-impairing heat-1%From climate change

The June 25 match at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium (Paraguay vs. Australia) has a 26% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 1 percentage point lower due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Paraguay flagParaguay
Australia flagAustralia

June 25, 2026 • San Francisco Bay Area Stadium

Group DOpen air
26%Chance of performance-impairing heat
-1%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Paraguay flagParaguay

Group D3 matches, 2 stadiums
Go to team page
Next match:

United States flagUSA—Paraguay flagPAR

32%Chance of performance-impairing heat+8%From climate change

Australia flagAustralia

Group D3 matches, 3 stadiums
Go to team page
Next match:

Australia flagAUS—Turkey flagTUR

1%Chance of performance-impairing heat0%From climate change

San Francisco/Bay Area

United States flagUnited States

Go to stadium page
Next match:

To Be DeterminedWinner Group D—To Be Determined3rd Group B/E/F/I/J

26%Chance of performance-impairing heat-1%From climate change