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Last forecast for this matchAs of June 20, 2026 at 2:00 PM ETForecast high was 26°C0°C above normal

Forecast high was .

This was 0°C above normal.

The Climate Story for:

Turkey flagTurkeyvs.Paraguay flagParaguay

Group Stage · Group D

Fri, June 19, 20268:00 p.m.San Francisco Bay Area StadiumOpen air

Review the modeled heat risk for this match and how climate change affected the odds.

Data

17%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change

The June 19 match at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium (Turkey vs. Paraguay) had a 17% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds were 2 percentage points higher due to climate change.

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Turkey flagTurkey
Paraguay flagParaguay

June 19, 2026 • San Francisco Bay Area Stadium

Group DOpen air
17%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+2%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.