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The Climate Story for:

Turkey flagTurkeyvs.Paraguay flagParaguay

Group Stage · Group D

Fri, June 19, 20268:00 p.m.San Francisco Bay Area StadiumOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

17%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change

The June 19 match at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium (Turkey vs. Paraguay) has a 17% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 2 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Turkey flagTurkey
Paraguay flagParaguay

June 19, 2026 • San Francisco Bay Area Stadium

Group DOpen air
17%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+2%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

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Turkey flagTurkey

Group D3 matches, 3 stadiums
Go to team page
Next match:

Australia flagAUS—Turkey flagTUR

1%Chance of performance-impairing heat0%From climate change

Paraguay flagParaguay

Group D3 matches, 2 stadiums
Go to team page
Next match:

United States flagUSA—Paraguay flagPAR

32%Chance of performance-impairing heat+8%From climate change

San Francisco/Bay Area

United States flagUnited States

Go to stadium page
Next match:

Jordan flagJordan—Algeria flagAlgeria

17%Chance of performance-impairing heat+2%From climate change