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The Climate Story for:

Mexico flagMexicovs.South Africa flagSouth Africa

Group Stage · Group A

Thu, June 11, 20261:00 p.m.Mexico City StadiumOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

19%Chance of performance-impairing heat+8%From climate change

The June 11 match at Mexico City Stadium (Mexico vs. South Africa) has a 19% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 8 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Mexico flagMexico
South Africa flagSouth Africa

June 11, 2026 • Mexico City Stadium

Group AOpen air
19%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+8%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Mexico flagMexico

Group A3 matches, 2 stadiums
Go to team page
Next match:

Mexico flagMEX—South Africa flagRSA

19%Chance of performance-impairing heat+8%From climate change

South Africa flagSouth Africa

Group A3 matches, 3 stadiums
Go to team page
Next match:

Mexico flagMEX—South Africa flagRSA

19%Chance of performance-impairing heat+8%From climate change

Mexico City

Mexico flagMexico

Go to stadium page
Next match:

Uzbekistan flagUzbekistan—Colombia flagColombia

19%Chance of performance-impairing heat+8%From climate change