The Climate Story for: Austria
FIFA #24 | Elo #23
Group J
4 matches | 4 stadiums
Explore how heat could slow down performance for Austria and how climate change is increasing the odds.
Matches
Austria has completed its scheduled matches.
Two of the group-stage matches that Austria played had an above 50% likelihood of performance-impairing heat. Within their group, Austria was the #2 team most at risk, with a 65% likelihood on average across their group-stage matches.
Potential routes
Paths to the final
Group J
See the potential road to victory for Austria and the impact that heat may have on their prospects of winning. Group-stage match locations are fixed, and knockout match locations trace where Austria could play as a group runner-up, third-place qualifier, or winner.
Actual routeAustria's path ended in the Round of 32.The actual path is highlighted below and stops at the last match in current results. Other possible branches remain visible for context.
Color by
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Runner-upActual route
Actual last match
Third*
* Third-place qualification depends on results; only one possible R32 destination is shown.
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Group-round heat risk for Austria
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Austria
Group JFIFA #24 | Elo #23As of June 9, 2026
2 of 4 matches have above 50% odds of performance-impairing heat
- “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.
Tournament path heat risk
World Cup 2026 & Climate Change
Possible tournament paths
Austria
Group JFIFA #24 | Elo #23
Chance of heat conditions that can slow player performance.
0 to 9%10 to 24%25 to 49%50 to 74%75 to 89%90%+
G1
G2
G3
R32
R16
QF
SF
Final
Winner
Jun 16M20SF Bay Area
Jun 22M43Dallas
Jun 27M69Kansas City
Jul 3M86Miami
Jul 7M95Atlanta
Jul 11M100Kansas City
Jul 15M102Atlanta
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
Runner-up
Jun 16M20SF Bay Area
Jun 22M43Dallas
Jun 27M69Kansas City
Jul 2M84Los Angeles
Third*
Jun 16M20SF Bay Area
Jun 22M43Dallas
Jun 27M69Kansas City
Jul 2M85Vancouver
Jul 7M96Vancouver
Jul 11M100Kansas City
Jul 15M102Atlanta
Jul 19M104NY/NJ
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