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The Climate Story for:

To Be DeterminedWinner Group Fvs.To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group C

Round of 32

Mon, June 29, 20267:00 p.m.Estadio MonterreyOpen air

Explore how heat could slow down performance during this match and how climate change is increasing the odds.

Data

78%Chance of performance-impairing heat+14%From climate change

The June 29 match at Estadio Monterrey (Winner Group F vs. Runner-up Group C) has a 78% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds are 14 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

To Be DeterminedWinner Group F
To Be DeterminedRunner-up Group C

June 29, 2026 • Estadio Monterrey

Round of 32Open air
78%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+14%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Monterrey

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79%Chance of performance-impairing heat+14%From climate change