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The Climate Story for:

Netherlands flagNetherlandsvs.Morocco flagMorocco

Round of 32

Mon, June 29, 20267:00 p.m. CSTEstadio MonterreyOpen air

Review the modeled heat risk for this match and how climate change affected the odds.

Data

78%Chance of performance-impairing heat+14%From climate change

The June 29 match at Estadio Monterrey (Netherlands vs. Morocco) had a 78% chance of heat that can impair performance.

Those odds were 14 percentage points higher due to climate change.

The science explained

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World Cup 2026 & Climate Change

Netherlands flagNetherlands
Morocco flagMorocco

June 29, 2026 • Estadio Monterrey

Round of 32Open air
78%Chance of performance-impairing heat
+14%From climate change
  • “Performance-impairing heat” is heat above 28°C (82.4°F) — a threshold associated with elite players running slower, less far, and less often. Source: Climate Shift Index and ERA5 reanalysis.

Netherlands flagNetherlands

Group F4 matches, 4 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

Netherlands flagNET—Morocco flagMOR

78%Chance of performance-impairing heat+14%From climate change

Morocco flagMorocco

Group C6 matches, 5 stadiums
Go to team page
Latest match:

France flagFRA—Morocco flagMOR

37%Chance of performance-impairing heat+11%From climate change

Monterrey

Mexico flagMexico

Go to stadium page
Latest match:

Netherlands flagNetherlands—Morocco flagMorocco

78%Chance of performance-impairing heat+14%From climate change