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New Mexico’s Largest-Ever Wildfire Adds to Already Destructive Fire Season

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Over the past couple weeks, we’ve written about the Wallow Fire burning in western Arizona – it’s the largest wildfire in the state’s history. Now, there’s a new kid on the block; the Las Conchas Fire, burning one state over, has become the largest wildfire in New Mexico’s history, having already burned nearly 100,000 acres (156 square miles).

The Las Conchas Fire, burning near Los Alamos, N.M., has become the largest wildfire in the state's history. Credit: LANL/flickr.

Since June 26, flames from Las Conchas have been licking at the outskirts of Los Alamos, N.M. and threatening the Los Alamos National Laboratory, one of three nuclear-weapons labs in the country. Earlier this week news reports raised concerns over whether the fire would reach the lab and potentially release nuclear radiation. However, the county’s fire chief, Doug Tucker, said Wednesday that preventative burns around the Lab’s property were successful, and there was little chance the fire would pose a serious risk. Nevertheless, as a precautionary measure, the Lab is currently closed to all but ‘essential services,' and authorities are testing the air for radioactive material.

Like this year’s other big wildfires — to date, 2011 is the biggest wildfire year for the U.S. in more than a decade — this immense burn is connected to the unusually dry climate over the past winter and spring. Since December 2010, New Mexico has seen both above average temperatures and rainfall amounts that are well below normal — the past few months have been among the driest on record for the state. While officials don’t yet know how the wildfire started, the heat and unrelenting drought have undoubtedly primed the land for burning.

Credit: Ilissa Ocko for Climate Central.

To better understand the connection between these Southwestern fires and long-term climate change, I recommend reading our recent explainer (it also covers how La Niña conditions contributed to this unusually large fire season). Wildfires obviously occur naturally, and they can be a vital part of maintaining a healthy forest ecosystem. But in general, as global temperatures keep rising, the risk of very large wildfires is increasing in the West.

Warmer-than-average temperatures evaporate more moisture off the land than usual, which leaves plants dried out and easy to ignite. Climate models project that the Southwest will keep warming up and drying out during this century, which means that conditions will be more conducive to wildfires. As my colleague Andrew Freedman wrote two weeks ago:

Perhaps most worrisome, a recent report from the National Research Council found that 1.8°F of warming from current conditions (arguably the amount of warming to which we are already committed because of our current and past emissions of greenhouse gases) will lead to significant increases in the amount of western land burned by wildfires, compared to the average area burned during 1950-2003.

To read more details about the Las Conchas Fire, how the recent warm and windy weather has contributed to the fire’s spread, and what the region's weather forecast is leading into this long weekend, check out Jeff Masters’ post today over at Weather Underground.

Comments

By mememine69 (Detroit)
on July 1st, 2011

If you really think the coming doom is real, start acting like it’s the comet hit of an emergency that they say it is.
So we hand over the management of the temperature of the planet and the sea levels to carbon trading markets, politicians and corporations? This is progressive?
If you apply the same time honored scientific method of inquiry into researching whether or not climate change was grossly exaggerated, it is quite clear to see that consensus wasn’t fact, it was a cultural perception fueled by a consultant’s w&t ”“ dream of climate blame.
How many scientists does it take to change a light bulb?
None. But they DO have consensus that it “WILL” change.

By meme mine (detroit mich 54434)
on July 1st, 2011

The “consensus” was perception, not truth because both denier and believer scientists agreed that;
A-there will be effects,  and
B, -those effects will vary from nothing to negligible to complete and out of control unstoppable warming of the planet turning us into more like the planet Venus.
Gee, what’s not to agree with? That explains why every organization and every single scientist being paid to study the effects, (not causes), has their own unique definition of climate change.  It was a free pass and a consultant’s w&t-dream and a free pass for lab coat consultants calling themselves saintly scientists. It was perception, not fact because how else would you explain the thousands of consensus scientists vastly out numbering the protestors.
And here is absolute proof that scientific consensus of climate change was a perception and not fact. If it WERE true, the countless thousands of consensus and concerned scientists would be marching in the streets themselves and scrambling to get on CNN to warn the world of this comet hit of a global and planetary emergency they have said it is for 25 years now. The climate change mistake has done to science what abusive priests did to the Catholic Church and wasn’t it scientists who polluted the planet in the first place with their cancer causing chemicals and pesticides?
Climate change was a comfortable lie turned criminal exaggeration fueled by political correctness on steroids. It comes home when you look your own children in eyes and warn them that they will die an unspeakable death on a CO2 ravaged planet if they don’t start turning the lights out more often.
While Obama wanted one time promised to lower the seas and make the weather colder with taxes, he never even mentioned the “crisis” in his last State of the Union Address. Perception is politics and politics is perception.
Not admitting our mistake of needless panic and crisis exaggeration has made lying and fear mongering neocons out of all of us.

By Peter Malsin (Hanover NH 03755)
on July 2nd, 2011

Mememine another obfuscator bot working the holiday weekend.
The predictions re West drying out as temps rise have been very
consistent and all to much borne out already.

By Craig Miller (Albuquerque, NM 87197)
on July 11th, 2011

Residents dealing with smoke damage from the fires can go to http://www.newmexicosmokedamage.com to learn what to do and not do.

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