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Hurricanes: The Danger Hasn’t Passed

Michael D. Lemonick

By Michael D. Lemonick
(Originally published on Time.com's Ecocentric blog)

Who do you think is going to be the Republican nominee for president in 2012? Sarah Palin? Mike Huckabee? Mitt Romney?

It's kind of a ridiculous question, actually, since almost anything could happen in the 18 months until the primaries begin. One of the candidates could, for example, be caught in an embarrassing scandal—or even a perceived scandal. It happened to Joe Biden back in 1987 . But that hasn't stopped pundits from speculating and pollsters from asking—because it's an important question, even if the answers are pretty much useless.

The same sort of thing happens with hurricanes.

Last winter, the experts began projecting what the current season would look like. The answer back then: pretty average, which means they expected about six or so hurricanes. But then, in May, a new crop of predictions came out — and suddenly, forecasters were talking about a hurricane season more like 2005, the year that included Katrina...

Read more at Time's Ecocentric blog

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